Kestrel Group Ltd
KG · Price history
Price at last available close
$4.91
−$1.66 (-25.27%) 1M
2026-10-09
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Company & revenue
About Kestrel Group Ltd
Who they are
Kestrel Group Ltd engages in provision of fronting services to insurance program managers, managing general agencies, reinsurers, and reinsurance brokers in Bermuda. The company operates through two segments: Program Services and Legacy Reinsurance. The company is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Detailed revenue, brand and relationship research has not yet been completed for KG.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
35
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
59
Fair
Financial Strength
29
Business Quality / Moat
100
Management
33
Growth Quality
100
Risk / Durability
42
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
33
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
44/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 44/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Insider activity signal is favorable
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for KG
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can KG maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •How long can KG fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •Is KG's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What specifically needs to improve for KG to reach sustainable profitability?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify KG's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
35
Opportunity Score
33
Market Cap
$38.4M
P/E Ratio
-1.0
EPS
$-4.93
52-Week High
$27.24
52-Week Low
$4.82
Beta
0.69
Shares Outstanding
5.7M
Total Debt
$177.0M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$19.88
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Strong downward momentum
High movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for KG
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on KG.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
- −Free cash flow is negative.
- −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
- −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 68.0% year over year.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
Score changes will appear once more historical records are available.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailableCurrent Price
$4.91
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Large reported revenue change: +785.1%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $36.4M | $34.0M | $3.8M | $1.3M |
| Cost of Revenue | $26.0M | $9.0M | $3.4M | $3.5M |
| Gross Profit | $10.4M | $25.1M | $1.8M | -$2.2M |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| SG&A Expenses | $17.7M | $0.00 | $5.1M | $2.0M |
| Operating Expenses | $37.7M | -$24.5M | $303K | $2.2M |
| EBITDA | -$10.0M | $59.6M | $142K | -$4.4M |
| Operating Income | -$27.3M | $49.6M | $142K | -$4.4M |
| Interest Expense | $11.6M | $9.9M | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Income Before Tax | -$27.3M | $49.6M | -$1.3M | -$4.2M |
| Income Tax Expense | -$53K | $68K | $30K | $0.00 |
| Net Income | -$30.1M | $46.7M | -$1.3M | -$4.2M |
| Basic EPS | $-7.15 | $8.15 | $-0.13 | $-0.42 |
| Basic Shares | 7.79M | 5.73M | 9.94M | 9.94M |
| Diluted Shares | 7.79M | 5.73M | 9.94M | 9.94M |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$6.7M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$1.03
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+1.8%
Cash Change
+38.7%
Margin Change
-12927.5 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Cash position grew
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 1130.2%. EPS declined 106.8%. Cash increased 38.7%. Total debt increased 1.8%. Net income margin declined by 12927.5 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
Smart Money
Number of Gurus
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Log in to view dividend history.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
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Premium unlocks the full historical outperformance record: completed predictions, results chart, win rate, and calibration statistics.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
Historical trend will appear once more records are available.
Historical Score Chart
Historical score data will appear once more records are available.
Related Companies
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Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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