Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

HMYNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment55/100
$16.29USD+$0.39 (+2.45%)
Company website www.harmony.co.za
HeadquartersRandfontein Office park, Randfontein, GP, 1759, ZA
Financial statement currencyZAR · converted to USD at 0.060917
Basic Materials · Gold
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

HMY · Price history

Price at last available close

$16.29

−$1.45 (-8.17%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

Primary reporting period: 2026-06-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral properties in South Africa, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. The company explores for gold, uranium, silver, and copper deposits. It has nine underground operations in the Witwatersrand Basin; the Kraaipan Greenstone Belt; and various surface source operations in South Africa.

How they make money

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited generates revenue primarily through the extraction and processing of gold from underground and surface mining operations. The company also produces copper as a byproduct and is actively expanding its international copper footprint to diversify its commodity portfolio.

Products & services

Gold bullion and copper concentrate.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Global gold bullion marketsSource
  • Industrial copper consumersSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Mining equipment and service providers — The company relies on various unnamed third-party suppliers for mining equipment, machinery, and specialized technical services required for underground and surface extraction operations.Source

Competitors

  • Gold mining companies — Various global and regional gold mining entities that compete for capital and market share in the precious metals sector.Source

Strengths

  • Consistent operational delivery and gold production guidance achievementSource
  • Robust cash generation and strengthened gold-copper portfolioSource

Risks

  • Operational risks associated with underground mining and safetySource
  • Fluctuations in gold and copper market pricesSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 310.3% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

55

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

85

Strong

Financial Strength

55

Business Quality / Moat

99

Management

100

Growth Quality

100

Risk / Durability

84

Great Company · Attractive Price

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

83

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

79/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 79/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Revenue fundamentals score strongly
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for HMY

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can HMY maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is HMY's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does HMY's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is HMY's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of HMY's score?
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

55

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

83

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$10.21B

P/E Ratio

4.2

EPS

$4.20

52-Week High

$26.06

52-Week Low

$13.03

Beta

0.79

Intrinsic Value

$161.85

Shares Outstanding

634.0M

Total Revenue

$10.96B

Total Debt

$572.6M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

2.92%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$7.18

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.46

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
31/ 100
+3 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -2.6% · 20D -9.4% · RSI 47 · Price vs 20D avg -3.0%
Volatility
26/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 33.9% · 60D 55.9% · Acceleration 0.61x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for HMY

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on HMY.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Consistent operational delivery and gold production guidance achievement.
  • +Robust cash generation and strengthened gold-copper portfolio.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Gold industry.
  • −Operational risks associated with underground mining and safety.
  • −Fluctuations in gold and copper market prices.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair55/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

55

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

Debt Cost17.0%
Debt Reduction YoY-321.7%
Debt / Equity0.13x

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Strong

75

Revenue YoY71.8%
Revenue CAGR30.6%
Net Margin24.0%

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Strong

80

Asset Growth YoY61.3%
Liquidation/Share$7.18
Net Assets/MCap0.64x

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Fair

61

Earnings Yield23.7%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost17.0%

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Elite

100

ROIC47.6%
ROE57.8%
ROA34.5%

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Elite

99

EPS Growth62.5%
FCF/Share Growth43.1%
Rev/Share Growth24.1%

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Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$161.85
Value Reference$97.11
MOS90.2%

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Strong

75

Revenue75
Moat99
Valuation100

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Elite

100

MOS %90.2%
Value Reference$97.11
Deep Discount Reference$64.74

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Fair

66

Interest Coverage29.2x
ROIC47.6%
FCF Yield8.3%

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Strong

84

Financial66
Valuation100
Debt32

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Elite

92

Survival Years7.4 yrs
Current Ratio0.84x
FCF Margin14.5%

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

55

Sep 28, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

55

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

HMY score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

58

Projected Change

+2.6 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $4.20 · Growth assumption: 15.0% · Earnings multiplier: 38.5×.

Current Price

$16.29

Model Intrinsic Value

$161.85

Difference

−$145.56

-89.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

89.9%

Value Reference: $97.11
Deep Discount Reference: $64.74

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026$0$500M$1.0B$1.5B$2.0B

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$10.96B$6.38B$4.50B$3.74B····························
Cost of Revenue$6.15B$3.40B$2.72B$2.88B····························
Gross Profit$4.81B$2.98B$1.79B$861.7M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$272.3M$115.2M$156.1M$78.8M····························
Operating Expenses$686.7M$140.4M$545.0M$150.5M····························
EBITDA$4.92B$3.28B$1.60B$1.01B····························
Operating Income$4.12B$2.84B$1.24B$711.3M····························
Interest Expense$98.7M$97.4M$0.00$48.5M····························
Income Before Tax$3.57B$2.25B$1.29B$717.0M····························
Income Tax Expense$932.9M$521.7M$405.6M$187.7M····························
Net Income$2.62B$1.72B$876.2M$523.1M····························
Basic EPS$4.20$2.75$1.41$0.84····························
Basic Shares625M624M629M619M····························
Diluted Shares625M634M629M630M····························
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Mar 3, 2027
Estimated EPS: $1.69Estimated revenue: $3.45B
Jun 30, 2026Q4FY2026

Revenue

$3.62B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.89

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+321.7%

Cash Change

-34.3%

Margin Change

+14.9 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 61.7%. EPS increased 201.0%. Cash declined 34.3%. Total debt increased 321.7%. Net income margin improved by 14.9 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

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Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 26$35.00$70.00$105.00$140.00$175.00

Value Reference

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 26$20.00$40.00$60.00$80.00$100.00

Margin of Safety %

Aug 14, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260.7%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.9%

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News

Rumor Mill · HMY

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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