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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
GXO Logistics, Inc., together with its associated entities, delivers a full range of logistics solutions globally. The company's services include warehousing, distribution, order fulfillment, specialized e-commerce support, and various other supply chain management functions, alongside critical reverse logistics and returns processing. As of December 31, 2021, GXO operated across approximately 906 facilities worldwide.
How they make money
GXO operates an asset-light business model providing contract logistics services through long-term customer contracts. The company generates revenue via fixed-price contracts, where it manages warehouse, technology, and labor costs for a set fee, and cost-plus contracts, where it is reimbursed for operational expenses plus a margin.
Products & services
High-value-add warehousing, distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce support, reverse logistics, and supply chain management services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
The company does not disclose specific customer names or concentration percentages in its 2025 annual report.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Warehouse and logistics equipment providers — Providers of automation hardware, software, and material handling equipment used in logistics facilities.Source
Competitors
DHL Supply Chain — A global provider of contract logistics and supply chain management services.Source
Kuehne + Nagel — A global logistics company providing contract logistics and integrated supply chain solutions.Source
CEVA Logistics — A global provider of contract logistics and freight management services.Source
Strengths
Technology-enabled, customized solutions at scaleSource
Asset-light business model with high free cash flowSource
Risks
Dependence on customer outsourcing trends and contract renewalsSource
Operational risks associated with labor costs and warehouse lease obligationsSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
28
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
35
Poor
Financial Strength
31
Business Quality / Moat
40
Management
20
Growth Quality
39
Risk / Durability
61
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
33
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
43/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 43/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•M&A headline · Sep 8, 2026
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for GXO
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can GXO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•Is GXO's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Is GXO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify GXO's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for GXO
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
M&A headline · Sep 8, 2026
Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio Acquires Shares of 32,544 GXO Logistics, Inc. $GXO — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Technology-enabled, customized solutions at scale.
+Asset-light business model with high free cash flow.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry.
−Dependence on customer outsourcing trends and contract renewals.
−Operational risks associated with labor costs and warehouse lease obligations.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak28/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
31
Debt Cost1.7%
Debt Reduction YoY-52.6%
Debt / Equity2.65x
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Revenue
Poor
39
Revenue YoY3.5%
Revenue CAGR16.1%
Net Margin1.0%
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Asset
Fair
69
Asset Growth YoY8.8%
Liquidation/Share$25.98
Net Assets/MCap1.22x
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Capital
Poor
22
Earnings Yield2.6%
Buyback Yield1.2%
Debt Cost1.7%
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Management
Poor
20
ROIC3.6%
ROE4.4%
ROA1.1%
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Moat
Weak
40
EPS Growth-43.5%
FCF/Share Growth-12.8%
Rev/Share Growth14.3%
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Valuation
Poor
10
Intrinsic Value$40.83
Value Reference$24.50
MOS-18.6%
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Buffett
Poor
36
Revenue39
Moat40
Valuation10
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %-18.6%
Value Reference$24.50
Deep Discount Reference$16.33
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Financial
Poor
28
Interest Coverage3.2x
ROIC3.6%
FCF Yield2.2%
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Master
Poor
25
Financial28
Valuation10
Debt31
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Resilience
Weak
41
Survival Years0.8 yrs
Current Ratio0.85x
FCF Margin0.8%
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Score Changes
5 historical score records available
Previous Score
28
Sep 28, 2026
Change
-0.1
points
Current Score
28
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.1
Debt0
Assets-0.2
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.1
GXO decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.
Projected Score
Projected Score
25
Projected Change
-2.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 2.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Revenue
$13.64B
$13.18B
$11.71B
$9.78B
····
····
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$11.79B
$11.65B
$10.27B
$8.40B
····
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$1.85B
$1.53B
$1.44B
$1.38B
····
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
····
····
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$580.6M
$1.1M
$1.06B
$998.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$1.44B
$1.11B
$1.22B
$1.06B
····
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
$777.0M
$694.0M
$664.0M
$680.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
$411.0M
$425.0M
$218.0M
$318.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$100.0M
$133.0M
$103.0M
$53.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
$219.0M
$104.0M
$146.0M
$266.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$84.0M
$68.0M
$8.0M
$33.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Net Income
$131.0M
$32.0M
$134.0M
$229.0M
····
····
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$1.14
$0.28
$1.12
$1.93
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····
····
····
····
Basic Shares
115M
116M
119M
119M
····
····
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
116M
116M
120M
119M
····
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Cash position grew
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 4.3%. EPS declined 4.3%. Cash increased 275.1%. Total debt increased 10.1%. Net income margin declined by 0.1 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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Premium
5 Years
$———.——
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10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.