Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

GHGNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment41/100
$0.99USD$-0.01 (-1.00%)
Company website www.998.com
Headquarters2451 Hongqiao Road, Shanghai, SH, 200065, CN
Financial statement currencyCNY · converted to USD at 0.148879
Consumer Cyclical · Travel Lodging
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

GHG · Price history

Price at last available close

$0.99

−$0.02 (-1.98%) 1M

2026-10-28

Tap or drag sideways to inspect a price. Use two fingers to compare automatically. Release to scroll. Use Shift + arrow keys to compare with a keyboard.

Company & revenue

About GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. is a prominent hotel operator in the People's Republic of China, engaging in the development and management of accommodations under its GreenTree brand. The company's portfolio comprises both directly owned and leased hotels, alongside an extensive network of franchised and managed properties. By the close of 2021 (December 31), GreenTree oversaw 66 leased and operated hotels, offering 7,064 guest rooms.

How they make money

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. operates a franchise-focused hotel network in China, generating revenue primarily through initial franchise fees and recurring management fees from franchisees. Additionally, the company earns revenue from restaurant operations following the acquisition of the Da Niang Dumplings and Bellagio restaurant chains in 2023.

Products & services

The company provides hotel management and franchising services across economy to mid-to-up-scale segments, alongside operating restaurant chains.

Brands & revenue mix

GreenTree Inn

Flagship economy hotel brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Da Niang Dumplings

Restaurant chain brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Bellagio

Restaurant chain brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Unnamed hotel property management and maintenance service providers — Third-party vendors providing operational support and maintenance services for the franchised hotel network.Source

Competitors

  • Jin Jiang International — A major competitor in the Chinese hospitality and lodging market.Source
  • H World Group (formerly Huazhu) — A leading hotel operator competing in the same segments in China.Source

Strengths

  • Extensive hotel network and brand presence in ChinaSource
  • Large membership program driving recurring bookingsSource

Risks

  • Dependence on the performance and compliance of franchiseesSource
  • Intense competition in the Chinese hospitality and restaurant industriesSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Quarterly EPS fell 78.8% versus the same quarter last year.

Review net income and weighted-average shares together. Per-share earnings can change because of operating performance, nonrecurring items or the share denominator.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

41

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

45

Weak

Financial Strength

69

Business Quality / Moat

24

Management

57

Growth Quality

5

Risk / Durability

64

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

40

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

43/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 43/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for GHG

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving GHG's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is GHG's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does GHG's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of GHG's score?
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

41

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

40

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$99.9M

P/E Ratio

16.2

EPS

$0.06

52-Week High

$2.31

52-Week Low

$0.99

Beta

0.63

Intrinsic Value

$1.17

Analyst Target

$5.00

Shares Outstanding

101.1M

Total Revenue

$146.0M

Total Debt

$225.4M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

6.06%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$2.44

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.06

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
42/ 100
-12 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -2.9% · 20D -2.0% · RSI 56 · Price vs 20D avg +1.2%
Volatility
58/ 100
-0 pts / 5d

Elevated movement

20D realized vol 57.9% · 60D 36.9% · Acceleration 1.57x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for GHG

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on GHG.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Extensive hotel network and brand presence in China.
  • +Large membership program driving recurring bookings.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Travel Lodging industry.
  • −Dependence on the performance and compliance of franchisees.
  • −Intense competition in the Chinese hospitality and restaurant industries.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak41/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

41

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

Debt Cost0.5%
Debt Reduction YoY14.0%
Debt / Equity0.93x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

16

Revenue YoY-10.7%
Revenue CAGR-17.9%
Net Margin0.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

55

Asset Growth YoY-3.2%
Liquidation/Share$2.44
Net Assets/MCap4.79x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

12

Earnings Yield1.1%
Buyback Yield0.7%
Debt Cost0.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

57

ROIC7.6%
ROE0.5%
ROA0.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

24

EPS Growth9.1%
FCF/Share Growth-47.5%
Rev/Share Growth1.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Intrinsic Value$1.17
Value Reference$0.70
MOS11.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Revenue16
Moat24
Valuation46

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

34

MOS %11.9%
Value Reference$0.70
Deep Discount Reference$0.47

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

Interest Coverage18.4x
ROIC7.6%
FCF Yield2.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Financial32
Valuation46
Debt84

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

78

Survival Years6.9 yrs
Current Ratio1.61x
FCF Margin1.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Was this stock page easy to understand?

One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.

Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

41

Sep 28, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

41

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+0.1
Buffett+0.1

GHG score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

32

Projected Change

-9.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 9.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$0.99

Model Intrinsic Value

$1.17

Difference

−$0.18

-15.4% vs IV

Margin of Safety

15.4%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $0.70
Deep Discount Reference: $0.47

Financial Charts

Revenue

20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$75M$150M$225M$300M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$25M$50M$75M$100M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$85M$170M$255M$340M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$250M$500M$750M$1.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$146.0M$163.4M$200.0M$242.3M····························
Cost of Revenue$95.4M$106.4M$122.5M$141.1M····························
Gross Profit$50.6M$57.0M$77.5M$101.2M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$34.8M$39.9M$43.5M$53.5M····························
Operating Expenses$31.4M$36.1M$53.4M$51.2M····························
EBITDA$16.9M$44.9M$47.5M$76.1M····························
Operating Income$19.2M$20.9M$24.1M$50.0M····························
Interest Expense$1.1M$1.1M$939K$2.1M····························
Income Before Tax$6.1M$31.2M$29.2M$56.4M····························
Income Tax Expense$5.2M$6.8M$13.2M$17.6M····························
Net Income$1.1M$24.8M$16.4M$40.1M····························
Basic EPS$0.06$0.25$0.16$0.39····························
Basic Shares101M101M102M102M····························
Diluted Shares101M101M102M102M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 25, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.04Estimated revenue: $30.8M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$34.9M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.03

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-14.4%

Cash Change

+1.8%

Margin Change

-25.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included cash levels, debt levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 19.9%. EPS declined 78.8%. Cash increased 1.8%. Total debt declined 14.4%. Net income margin declined by 25.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 26$0.95$1.90$2.85$3.80$4.75

Value Reference

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 26$0.55$1.10$1.65$2.20$2.75

Margin of Safety %

Aug 13, 26Sep 28, 26Oct 1, 260.0%0.2%0.4%0.6%0.8%

Related Companies

Travel Lodging

ATAT

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

74Strong
$32.75View

HTHT

H World Group Limited

61Fair
$46.58View

IHG

InterContinental Hotels Group PLC

57Fair
$167.21View

HGV

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

50Fair
$35.73View

CHH

Choice Hotels International, Inc.

40Weak
$109.19View

MAR

Marriott International, Inc.

30Poor
$397.31View

News

Rumor Mill · GHG

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

Continue researching this company with related Wall Street Score rankings and investing guides.

Highest Wall Street Score stocksStocks under $10How Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

Score Alerts

Premium unlocks alerts when a score rises, falls, or reaches your target price.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Portfolio Score

Premium unlocks portfolio scoring, strongest and weakest holdings, and overall margin of safety.

Start 7-Day Free Trial