Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Gevo, Inc. is a company focused on the development and commercialization of renewable fuels. Its operations are organized into four distinct segments: Gevo, Agri-Energy, Renewable Natural Gas, and Net-Zero. The company's primary objective is to offer sustainable alternatives for gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel, striving to achieve zero carbon emissions and substantially lower overall greenhouse gas footprints.
How they make money
Gevo generates revenue by producing and selling renewable, drop-in products such as fuels, chemicals, protein, feed, and oil. The company also creates value through its business system by generating carbon abatement value through its production processes, plant design, and operating systems, as well as by licensing its proprietary technologies.
Products & services
Renewable fuels (including sustainable aviation fuel), chemicals, protein, animal feed, and oil products, alongside technology licensing and project development services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer types
Customer categories were not separately identified in the reviewed source set.
Customer concentration
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
No supplier relationships were confirmed in the sources reviewed. This does not mean the company has no suppliers.
Strengths
Proprietary technology for renewable fuel and chemical productionSource
Integration of production assets following the Red Trail Energy acquisitionSource
Risks
Material weakness in internal control over financial reportingSource
Dependence on successful development and operation of production facilitiesSource
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Quarterly EPS turned negative at -0.75 versus 0.01 a year earlier.
Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.
Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.
Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
19
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
25
Poor
Financial Strength
20
Business Quality / Moat
30
Management
0
Growth Quality
63
Risk / Durability
17
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
33
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
46/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 46/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
•Asset quality scores strongly
What to watch
•Elevated debt risk
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for GEVO
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can GEVO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can GEVO fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is GEVO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What specifically needs to improve for GEVO to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify GEVO's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for GEVO
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on GEVO.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Proprietary technology for renewable fuel and chemical production.
+Integration of production assets following the Red Trail Energy acquisition.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
−Material weakness in internal control over financial reporting.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak19/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
24
Debt Cost10.5%
Debt Reduction YoY-137.2%
Debt / Equity0.36x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Poor
36
Revenue YoY10.5%
Revenue CAGR205.5%
Net Margin-119.9%
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Asset
Strong
70
Asset Growth YoY23.1%
Liquidation/Share$1.20
Net Assets/MCap1.00x
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Capital
Poor
2
Earnings Yield-66.5%
Buyback Yield0.4%
Debt Cost10.5%
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Management
Poor
0
ROIC-4.9%
ROE-77.9%
ROA-43.4%
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Moat
Poor
30
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth243.0%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Poor
28
Revenue36
Moat30
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
25
Interest Coverage-1.1x
ROIC-4.9%
FCF Yield-13.6%
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Master
Poor
15
Financial25
Valuation0
Debt24
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Resilience
Poor
23
Survival Years0.0 yrs
Current Ratio1.82x
FCF Margin-27.1%
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Score Changes
5 historical score records available
Previous Score
19
Sep 28, 2026
Change
+0.2
points
Current Score
19
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+0.3
Debt0
Assets+1.7
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.3
GEVO increased 0.2 points because overall fundamentals improved.
Projected Score
Projected Score
19
Projected Change
-0.2 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 0.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$1.21
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Large reported revenue change: +849.3%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$177.5M
$160.6M
$16.9M
$17.2M
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Cost of Revenue
$120.3M
$112.0M
$12.0M
$12.0M
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Gross Profit
$57.2M
$48.5M
$4.9M
$5.2M
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Research & Development
$7.5M
$4.5M
$23.7M
$6.6M
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····
····
····
····
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SG&A Expenses
$58.4M
$51.2M
$45.8M
$42.6M
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Operating Expenses
$238.4M
$67.4M
$95.7M
$87.0M
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EBITDA
-$164.2M
$10.3M
-$56.5M
-$45.0M
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Operating Income
-$181.1M
-$18.9M
-$90.8M
-$81.8M
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Interest Expense
$20.7M
$17.6M
$3.9M
$2.2M
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Income Before Tax
-$211.2M
-$32.6M
-$78.6M
-$66.2M
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Income Tax Expense
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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Net Income
-$212.9M
-$33.8M
-$78.6M
-$66.2M
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Basic EPS
$-0.90
$-0.14
$-0.34
$-0.28
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Basic Shares
237M
234M
232M
239M
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Diluted Shares
237M
234M
232M
239M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Cash position grew
Debt reduced
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 7.1%. EPS declined 8341.8%. Cash increased 1.6%. Total debt declined 0.4%. Net income margin declined by 385.4 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.