Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Company & revenue
About Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Who they are
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an innovative aerospace and defense technology firm that provides advanced mission capabilities for a wide range of clients, including national security initiatives, governmental bodies, and commercial ventures. The company specializes in integrated technologies for space launches and in-orbit operations, designed to facilitate efficient access, transit, and ongoing activities within the space environment. Its suite of key offerings includes: Alpha, a rapid-response small launch vehicle; Eclipse, a robust medium-lift launch system; Blue Ghost, which provides lunar payload delivery and surface operations; Elytra, offering in-space maneuverability and satellite servicing; and Ocula, a dedicated lunar imaging service.
Detailed revenue, brand and relationship research has not yet been completed for FLY.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
32
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
52
Fair
Financial Strength
20
Business Quality / Moat
100
Management
40
Growth Quality
84
Risk / Durability
0
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
44
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
60/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 60/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from WallStreetScore (company quality).
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
WSS currently sees meaningful weaknesses in the company-strength profile.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for FLY
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can FLY maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •How long can FLY fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •How is FLY likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
- •What specifically needs to improve for FLY to reach sustainable profitability?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify FLY's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
32
Opportunity Score
44
Market Cap
$3.83B
P/E Ratio
-9.7
EPS
$-2.39
52-Week High
$62.17
52-Week Low
$16.00
Beta
0.72
Analyst Target
$36.00
Shares Outstanding
151.9M
Total Revenue
$287.0M
Total Debt
$53.4M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$8.05
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Neutral / mixed momentum
Elevated movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for FLY
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on FLY.
What the Bulls Say
- +Product opportunity: Firefly Aerospace Inc. is an innovative aerospace and defense technology firm that provides advanced mission capabilities for a wide range of clients, including national security initiatives, governmental bodies, and commercial ventures. The company specializes in integrated technologies for space launches and in-orbit operations, designed to facilitate efficient access, transit, and ongoing activities within the space environment. Its suite of key offerings includes: Alpha, a rapid-response sma.
What the Bears Say
- −Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.
Bull and bear cases summarize disclosed catalysts, growth opportunities and risks; they are not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
8 historical score records availablePrevious Score
32
Sep 29, 2026
Change
-0.1
points
Current Score
32
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
FLY decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.
Projected Score
Projected Score
39
Projected Change
+7.6%
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 7.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailableCurrent Price
$23.32
Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
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