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Primary reporting period: 2025-09-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Cerence Inc. specializes in developing and providing AI-driven virtual assistants tailored for the global mobility and transportation industry. The company's diverse portfolio includes both embedded (edge) software components and cloud-based solutions, along with relevant development toolkits, applications, and professional services to facilitate virtual assistant coexistence. These offerings are powered by sophisticated conversational artificial intelligence technologies, encompassing capabilities such as advanced speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech functionalities, and acoustic modeling.
How they make money
Cerence generates revenue primarily through licensing its proprietary automotive AI software to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Tier 1 suppliers. The business model includes perpetual software licenses, multi-year cloud-connected service subscriptions, and professional services for the design, integration, and deployment of in-car voice and generative AI experiences.
Products & services
Cerence provides AI-powered automotive user experience platforms, including Cerence xUI, a hybrid generative AI platform based on CaLLM language models, and Cerence Assistant, a voice-activated digital assistant. These are supported by core technologies such as speech recognition, text-to-speech, and assistant activation.
Brands & revenue mix
Cerence xUI
Customizable, hybrid generative AI platform for automotive user experiences.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Cerence Assistant
Ready-to-deploy, next-generation voice assistant for vehicles.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Customer types
Automotive Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)Source
The company reports that a significant portion of its revenue is derived from a limited number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, noting that the loss of any major customer could materially impact financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Cloud Service Providers — The company relies on third-party cloud infrastructure providers to host and deliver its connected services and cloud-based AI solutions.Source
Competitors
Google — Competes in the automotive voice assistant and in-car infotainment software market through Android Automotive and Google Assistant.Source
Apple — Competes in the automotive user experience market through its CarPlay platform.Source
Amazon — Competes in the automotive voice assistant market through Alexa Automotive.Source
Strengths
Extensive automotive industry footprint with solutions in approximately 52% of cars shipped in fiscal 2025.Source
Deep domain expertise in automotive-specific conversational AI and multi-language support.Source
Risks
Dependence on automotive production volumes and the timing of vehicle shipments by customers.Source
Risks associated with the rapid evolution of generative AI and the ability to maintain technological competitiveness.Source
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
25
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
43
Weak
Financial Strength
60
Business Quality / Moat
28
Management
40
Growth Quality
60
Risk / Durability
6
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
38
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
47/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 47/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
•Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
What to watch
•Debt service risk
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for CRNC
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can CRNC maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•Is CRNC's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Does CRNC's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
•What specifically needs to improve for CRNC to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify CRNC's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for CRNC
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Debt service risk
Interest coverage is low (~1.3x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on CRNC.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Extensive automotive industry footprint with solutions in approximately 52% of cars shipped in fiscal 2025.
+Deep domain expertise in automotive-specific conversational AI and multi-language support.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Software - Application industry.
−Dependence on automotive production volumes and the timing of vehicle shipments by customers.
−Risks associated with the rapid evolution of generative AI and the ability to maintain technological competitiveness.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak25/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Strong
78
Debt Cost4.4%
Debt Reduction YoY22.0%
Debt / Equity1.53x
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Revenue
Poor
26
Revenue YoY22.9%
Revenue CAGR-7.5%
Net Margin-5.0%
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Asset
Fair
50
Asset Growth YoY-10.2%
Liquidation/Share$3.85
Net Assets/MCap1.23x
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Capital
Poor
0
Earnings Yield-4.4%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost4.4%
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Management
Weak
40
ROIC5.8%
ROE-9.3%
ROA-2.5%
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Moat
Poor
28
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth88.5%
Rev/Share Growth-12.6%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Weak
43
Revenue26
Moat28
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
7
Interest Coverage1.3x
ROIC5.8%
FCF Yield13.2%
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Master
Poor
20
Financial7
Valuation0
Debt78
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Resilience
Poor
36
Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio1.84x
FCF Margin18.6%
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Score Changes
6 historical score records available
Previous Score
25
Sep 17, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
25
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0
CRNC score was unchanged.
Projected Score
Projected Score
28
Projected Change
+2.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$8.48
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$309.5M
$251.8M
$331.5M
$294.5M
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Cost of Revenue
$65.9M
$70.3M
$89.4M
$101.0M
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····
····
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Gross Profit
$243.6M
$181.5M
$242.1M
$193.5M
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····
····
····
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Research & Development
$110.6M
$97.8M
$121.6M
$123.3M
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····
····
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SG&A Expenses
$96.1M
$70.6M
$74.2M
$85.4M
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····
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Operating Expenses
$208.0M
$168.3M
$195.8M
$208.7M
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EBITDA
$44.3M
$12.0M
-$561.4M
-$5.6M
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Operating Income
$35.6M
$13.1M
$46.3M
-$15.3M
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Interest Expense
$6.3M
$10.2M
$12.6M
$14.8M
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····
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Income Before Tax
$23.2M
-$8.8M
-$584.6M
-$36.4M
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Income Tax Expense
$38.6M
$9.9M
$3.5M
$19.9M
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Net Income
-$15.4M
-$18.7M
-$588.1M
-$56.3M
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Basic EPS
$-0.36
$-0.43
$-14.12
$-1.40
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Basic Shares
45.18M
43.18M
41.64M
40.22M
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Diluted Shares
47.74M
43.18M
41.64M
40.22M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Cash position grew
Debt reduced
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 11.8%. EPS declined 147.7%. Cash increased 73.2%. Total debt declined 13.7%. Net income margin improved by 6.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.