Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Cerence Inc.

CRNCNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment25/100
$8.48USD+$0.01 (+0.12%)
Company website www.cerence.com
Headquarters1500 District Avenue, Burlington, MA, 01803, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Technology · Software - Application
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

CRNC · Price history

Price at last available close

$8.48

+$0.68 (+8.72%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Cerence Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-09-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Cerence Inc. specializes in developing and providing AI-driven virtual assistants tailored for the global mobility and transportation industry. The company's diverse portfolio includes both embedded (edge) software components and cloud-based solutions, along with relevant development toolkits, applications, and professional services to facilitate virtual assistant coexistence. These offerings are powered by sophisticated conversational artificial intelligence technologies, encompassing capabilities such as advanced speech recognition, natural language understanding, speech signal enhancement, text-to-speech functionalities, and acoustic modeling.

How they make money

Cerence generates revenue primarily through licensing its proprietary automotive AI software to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Tier 1 suppliers. The business model includes perpetual software licenses, multi-year cloud-connected service subscriptions, and professional services for the design, integration, and deployment of in-car voice and generative AI experiences.

Products & services

Cerence provides AI-powered automotive user experience platforms, including Cerence xUI, a hybrid generative AI platform based on CaLLM language models, and Cerence Assistant, a voice-activated digital assistant. These are supported by core technologies such as speech recognition, text-to-speech, and assistant activation.

Brands & revenue mix

Cerence xUI

Customizable, hybrid generative AI platform for automotive user experiences.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Cerence Assistant

Ready-to-deploy, next-generation voice assistant for vehicles.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

LicenseUSD 140.63M55.9%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Professional ServicesUSD 57.80M23.0%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Connected ServicesUSD 53.36M21.2%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

GERMANYUSD 79.23M31.5%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Other Asia PacificUSD 68.03M27.0%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

UNITED STATESUSD 38.72M15.4%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

JAPANUSD 37.41M14.9%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Other Europe Middle East And AfricaUSD 27.09M10.8%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Other AmericasUSD 1.29M0.5%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

  • Automotive Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)Source
  • Tier 1 Automotive SuppliersSource

Customer concentration

The company reports that a significant portion of its revenue is derived from a limited number of automotive OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, noting that the loss of any major customer could materially impact financial results for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Cloud Service Providers — The company relies on third-party cloud infrastructure providers to host and deliver its connected services and cloud-based AI solutions.Source

Competitors

  • Google — Competes in the automotive voice assistant and in-car infotainment software market through Android Automotive and Google Assistant.Source
  • Apple — Competes in the automotive user experience market through its CarPlay platform.Source
  • Amazon — Competes in the automotive voice assistant market through Alexa Automotive.Source

Strengths

  • Extensive automotive industry footprint with solutions in approximately 52% of cars shipped in fiscal 2025.Source
  • Deep domain expertise in automotive-specific conversational AI and multi-language support.Source

Risks

  • Dependence on automotive production volumes and the timing of vehicle shipments by customers.Source
  • Risks associated with the rapid evolution of generative AI and the ability to maintain technological competitiveness.Source

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

25

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

43

Weak

Financial Strength

60

Business Quality / Moat

28

Management

40

Growth Quality

60

Risk / Durability

6

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

38

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

47/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 47/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for CRNC

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can CRNC maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is CRNC's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does CRNC's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for CRNC to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify CRNC's current valuation?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

25

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

38

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$383.6M

P/E Ratio

-21.6

EPS

$-0.36

52-Week High

$13.74

52-Week Low

$5.85

Beta

3.01

Analyst Target

$11.50

Shares Outstanding

43.2M

Total Revenue

$309.5M

Total Debt

$187.1M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$3.85

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
51/ 100
-23 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -5.1% · 20D +8.3% · RSI 53 · Price vs 20D avg -0.7%
Volatility
28/ 100
+3 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 36.9% · 60D 44.9% · Acceleration 0.82x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for CRNC

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~1.3x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on CRNC.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Extensive automotive industry footprint with solutions in approximately 52% of cars shipped in fiscal 2025.
  • +Deep domain expertise in automotive-specific conversational AI and multi-language support.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Software - Application industry.
  • −Dependence on automotive production volumes and the timing of vehicle shipments by customers.
  • −Risks associated with the rapid evolution of generative AI and the ability to maintain technological competitiveness.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak25/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

25

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

78

Debt Cost4.4%
Debt Reduction YoY22.0%
Debt / Equity1.53x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

26

Revenue YoY22.9%
Revenue CAGR-7.5%
Net Margin-5.0%

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Fair

50

Asset Growth YoY-10.2%
Liquidation/Share$3.85
Net Assets/MCap1.23x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Earnings Yield-4.4%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost4.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC5.8%
ROE-9.3%
ROA-2.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

28

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth88.5%
Rev/Share Growth-12.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue26
Moat28
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

7

Interest Coverage1.3x
ROIC5.8%
FCF Yield13.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Financial7
Valuation0
Debt78

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio1.84x
FCF Margin18.6%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

25

Sep 17, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

25

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

CRNC score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

28

Projected Change

+2.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$8.48

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620172019202120232025-$40M$0$40M$80M$120M

Total Debt

201620172019202120232025$0$75M$150M$225M$300M

Total Assets

201620172019202120232025$0$450M$900M$1.4B$1.8B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$309.5M$251.8M$331.5M$294.5M····························
Cost of Revenue$65.9M$70.3M$89.4M$101.0M····························
Gross Profit$243.6M$181.5M$242.1M$193.5M····························
Research & Development$110.6M$97.8M$121.6M$123.3M····························
SG&A Expenses$96.1M$70.6M$74.2M$85.4M····························
Operating Expenses$208.0M$168.3M$195.8M$208.7M····························
EBITDA$44.3M$12.0M-$561.4M-$5.6M····························
Operating Income$35.6M$13.1M$46.3M-$15.3M····························
Interest Expense$6.3M$10.2M$12.6M$14.8M····························
Income Before Tax$23.2M-$8.8M-$584.6M-$36.4M····························
Income Tax Expense$38.6M$9.9M$3.5M$19.9M····························
Net Income-$15.4M-$18.7M-$588.1M-$56.3M····························
Basic EPS$-0.36$-0.43$-14.12$-1.40····························
Basic Shares45.18M43.18M41.64M40.22M····························
Diluted Shares47.74M43.18M41.64M40.22M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 18, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.17Estimated revenue: $63.8M
Jun 30, 2026Q3FY2026

Revenue

$69.6M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.03

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-13.7%

Cash Change

+73.2%

Margin Change

+6.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 11.8%. EPS declined 147.7%. Cash increased 73.2%. Total debt declined 13.7%. Net income margin improved by 6.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 3, 26Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · CRNC

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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