Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

TopBuild Corp.

BLDNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment39/100
$354.53USD$-5.23 (-1.45%)
Company website www.topbuild.com
Headquarters475 North Williamson Boulevard, Daytona Beach, FL, 32114, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

BLD · Price history

Company & revenue

About TopBuild Corp.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building material products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, garage doors, fireplaces, roofing materials, closet shelving, and other products.

How they make money

TopBuild operates through a dual-avenue business model consisting of installation services and specialty distribution. The company leverages a geographically diverse branch network to provide insulation and commercial roofing services to builders and contractors, while simultaneously distributing building products, allowing it to capture value across the construction supply chain through both labor-based installation and product sales.

Products & services

Installation of insulation and commercial roofing, and specialty distribution of insulation and related building products.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company's top customer accounted for approximately 3.1 percent of total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, and the top ten customers accounted for approximately 10.6 percent of total sales.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Insulation and building product manufacturers — The company maintains relationships with various manufacturers of insulation and building products to procure materials for distribution and installation, without being constrained by exclusivity agreements.Source

Strengths

  • Geographically diverse branch networkSource
  • Variable cost operating modelSource

Risks

  • Cyclical nature of the construction industrySource
  • Dependence on housing starts and construction activitySource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-04-18.

Total debt increased 99.6% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

39

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

66

Fair

Financial Strength

40

Business Quality / Moat

85

Management

85

Growth Quality

52

Risk / Durability

74

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

28

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

39/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 39/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for BLD

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can BLD maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is BLD's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is BLD's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify BLD's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of BLD's score?
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

39

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

28

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$9.98B

P/E Ratio

19.8

EPS

$17.90

52-Week High

$559.47

52-Week Low

$330.51

Beta

1.83

Intrinsic Value

$245.10

Analyst Target

$438.50

Shares Outstanding

28.1M

Total Revenue

$5.62B

Total Debt

$3.13B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$85.46

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Calculating current signals…

Notices for BLD

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on BLD.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Geographically diverse branch network.
  • +Variable cost operating model.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Engineering & Construction industry.
  • −Cyclical nature of the construction industry.
  • −Dependence on housing starts and construction activity.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak39/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

39

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Debt Cost6.7%
Debt Reduction YoY-99.7%
Debt / Equity1.36x

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Poor

20

Revenue YoY3.9%
Revenue CAGR2.0%
Net Margin9.0%

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Fair

63

Asset Growth YoY42.2%
Liquidation/Share$85.46
Net Assets/MCap0.36x

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Weak

49

Earnings Yield5.1%
Buyback Yield4.2%
Debt Cost6.7%

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Strong

85

ROIC11.2%
ROE20.9%
ROA7.5%

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Strong

85

EPS Growth12.2%
FCF/Share Growth24.6%
Rev/Share Growth13.9%

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Poor

22

Intrinsic Value$245.10
Value Reference$147.06
MOS-44.6%

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Weak

49

Revenue20
Moat85
Valuation22

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Poor

0

MOS %-44.6%
Value Reference$147.06
Deep Discount Reference$98.04

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Poor

20

Interest Coverage3.7x
ROIC11.2%
FCF Yield7.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Financial20
Valuation22
Debt30

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

52

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio1.94x
FCF Margin12.9%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

5 historical score records available

Previous Score

39

Sep 9, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

39

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

BLD score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

38

Projected Change

-1.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 1.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$354.53

Model Intrinsic Value

$245.10

Difference

+$109.43

+44.6% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-44.6%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $147.06
Deep Discount Reference: $98.04

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$1.5B$3.0B$4.5B$6.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$250M$500M$750M$1.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$800M$1.6B$2.4B$3.2B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$5.62B$5.41B$5.33B$5.19B····························
Cost of Revenue$4.00B$3.84B$3.70B$3.59B····························
Gross Profit$1.62B$1.57B$1.62B$1.60B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$826.9M$777.1M$710.7M$725.0M····························
Operating Expenses$826.9M$777.1M$738.6M$725.0M····························
EBITDA$991.0M$1.08B$1.05B$1.03B····························
Operating Income$790.9M$791.9M$886.3M$878.8M····························
Interest Expense$123.8M$211.3M$73.1M$74.6M····························
Income Before Tax$677.4M$703.6M$840.8M$825.5M····························
Income Tax Expense$174.2M$181.9M$218.2M$211.2M····························
Net Income$503.2M$521.7M$622.6M$614.3M····························
Basic EPS$17.90$18.39$20.41$19.44····························
Basic Shares27.98M27.93M30.50M31.58M····························
Diluted Shares28.13M28.14M30.68M31.58M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Apr 18, 2026Q1FY2026

Revenue

$1.45B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$3.73

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+99.6%

Cash Change

-12.9%

Margin Change

-2.8 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 17.2%. EPS declined 11.8%. Cash declined 12.9%. Total debt increased 99.6%. Net income margin declined by 2.8 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Earnings data: 193 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

5 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 5 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 2 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 26$243.00$244.00$245.00$246.00$247.00

Value Reference

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 26$145.00$146.00$147.00$148.00$149.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 26-0.7%-0.6%-0.5%-0.4%-0.3%

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News

Rumor Mill · BLD

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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