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Primary reporting period: 2025-09-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Operating from Chengdu, People's Republic of China, BGM Group Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and supply of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs), traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) derivatives, and various other related products across China. The company's pharmaceutical portfolio includes an array of licorice-based items: Gan Di Xin, an oral medication for cough and expectorant relief; Qilian Shan Licorice Extract, serving as a raw material for pharmaceutical firms to produce conventional licorice tablets; and Qilian Shan licorice liquid extract, a key ingredient utilized by medical preparers for crafting compound licorice oral solutions. BGM also provides Qilian Shan oxytetracycline tablets, formulated to prevent and treat a range of ailments in poultry (chickens, turkeys), livestock (cattle, swine), and humans, in addition to Qilian Shan oxytetracycline APIs for use by pharmaceutical manufacturers.
How they make money
BGM Group Ltd. operates as a holding company that generates revenue through its biopharmaceutical division, which produces and sells pharmaceutical products like oxytetracycline API and heparin sodium, and through its AI technology division, which provides AI-driven insurance solutions and intelligent robot services.
Products & services
The company produces oxytetracycline API, crude heparin sodium, and licorice preparations, while also providing AI-based insurance sales, underwriting, and claims processing services.
Brands & revenue mix
Du Xiao Bao
AI platform providing insurance solutions and intelligent robot services.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Raw material suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for raw materials used in the production of its pharmaceutical products.Source
Strengths
Integration of AI-assisted decision-making into manufacturing processesSource
Risks
Reliance on VIE agreements for operations in the PRCSource
Regulatory risks associated with operating in the pharmaceutical industry in ChinaSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
15
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
32
Poor
Financial Strength
27
Business Quality / Moat
8
Management
40
Growth Quality
86
Risk / Durability
15
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
Outperformance analysis is not currently available.
Reverse-split / listing-compliance risk: HIGH
This is a risk signal, not a prediction. It is separate from Wall Street Score and does not change the company score. It looks for listing-pressure signals such as prolonged Nasdaq trading below $1, very low share price, micro-cap size, negative free cash flow, and verified recent reverse splits.
Risk indicator: 60/100
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
A current Opportunity Score is not available.
The 12-month model outlook is not currently available.
What we like
•Asset quality scores strongly
What to watch
•Share split detected
•Material dilution — approximately 5167.1% share-count growth
•MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for BGM
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can BGM maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can BGM fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•How is BGM likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
•What specifically needs to improve for BGM to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify BGM's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for BGM
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Share split detected
A recent SEC filing references a reverse stock split/share consolidation. Repeated reverse splits receive progressively harsher score ceilings.
Material dilution — approximately 5167.1% share-count growth
Shares outstanding increased approximately 5167.1% across stored score snapshots. This is material dilution and is applying a Wall Street Score ceiling of 15.
MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized
A recent SEC filing discusses authorization, approval, or a proposal for a reverse stock split. This is treated as a major distress/listing-risk signal and caps Wall Street Score below 30 while pending.
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on BGM.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Integration of AI-assisted decision-making into manufacturing processes.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry.
−Reliance on VIE agreements for operations in the PRC.
−Regulatory risks associated with operating in the pharmaceutical industry in China.
−Shares outstanding increased approximately 5167.1% across stored score snapshots. This is material dilution and is applying a Wall Street Score ceiling of 15.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak15/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
39
Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY—
Debt / Equity0.00x
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Revenue
Poor
28
Revenue YoY97.2%
Revenue CAGR-9.7%
Net Margin-29.0%
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Asset
Elite
100
Asset Growth YoY718.5%
Liquidation/Share$1.05
Net Assets/MCap4.54x
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Capital
Poor
0
Earnings Yield-22.7%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost—
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Management
Weak
40
ROIC-3.2%
ROE-5.5%
ROA-5.0%
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Moat
Poor
8
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-59.6%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Poor
38
Revenue28
Moat8
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
39
Interest Coverage—
ROIC-3.2%
FCF Yield-4.6%
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Master
Poor
15
Financial39
Valuation0
Debt39
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Resilience
Fair
54
Survival Years2.4 yrs
Current Ratio1.24x
FCF Margin-11.7%
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Score Changes
5 historical score records available
Previous Score
29
Sep 9, 2026
Change
-14.2
points
Current Score
15
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+1.0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat-0.9
Valuation0
Buffett+0.1
BGM decreased 14.2 points because some fundamentals weakened.
Projected Score
Projected Score
17
Projected Change
+2.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$8.71
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Large reported revenue change: +51.1%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Revenue
$47.9M
$37.9M
$25.1M
$46.5M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$41.8M
$33.1M
$21.0M
$44.7M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$6.1M
$4.8M
$4.1M
$1.8M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$387K
$673K
$1.4M
$568K
····
····
····
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$17.0M
$16.8M
$3.3M
$3.8M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$17.4M
$17.4M
$4.7M
$4.4M
····
····
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
-$9.2M
-$11.1M
$880K
-$1.3M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
-$11.2M
-$12.6M
-$564K
-$2.6M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$11K
$0.00
$640K
$0.00
····
····
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
-$16.8M
-$19.9M
-$2.1M
-$7.9M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$4.8M
$278K
-$620K
$219K
····
····
····
····
····
····
Net Income
-$21.2M
-$19.9M
-$1.4M
-$7.8M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$-0.18
$-0.18
$-0.20
$-1.08
····
····
····
····
····
····
Basic Shares
186M
113M
7.23M
7.23M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
186M
113M
7.23M
7.23M
····
····
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Mar 31, 2026Q2FY2026
Revenue
$24.3M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.01
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
-34.1%
Cash Change
+19.3%
Margin Change
-2.6 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Cash position grew
Debt reduced
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 69.8%. EPS declined 58.5%. Cash increased 19.3%. Total debt declined 34.1%. Net income margin declined by 2.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.