AeroVironment, Inc.
AVAV · Price history
Price at last available close
$126.73
−$20.50 (-13.92%) 1M
2026-10-27
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Company & revenue
About AeroVironment, Inc.
Primary reporting period: 2026-04-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
AeroVironment Inc. develops, produces, delivers, and services a diverse array of robotic systems for governmental and commercial entities across the globe. The company's operations are segmented into Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile Systems (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). Its core clientele, particularly for UAS, TMS, and unmanned ground vehicles along with their accompanying support, includes agencies within the U.
How they make money
AeroVironment generates revenue primarily through the design, development, and production of uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems, and high-altitude pseudo-satellite platforms. The company operates under a business model that relies heavily on government contracts, including IDIQ-type agreements, and international sales, where it provides both hardware products and associated support, training, and maintenance services.
Products & services
Uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems, high-altitude pseudo-satellite (HAPS) platforms, and related software, sensors, and support services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
Period ended 2026-04-30Source
Period ended 2026-04-30Source
Period ended 2026-04-30Source
Period ended 2026-04-30Source
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Geographic revenue
Disclosed major customers
- U.S. Department of DefenseSource
Customer concentration
The company is highly dependent on the U.S. government, specifically the Department of Defense, which accounts for a significant portion of its total revenue as of the fiscal year ended April 30, 2026.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Electronic components and raw material suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for specialized electronic components, sensors, and raw materials required for the manufacturing of its uncrewed systems.Source
Strengths
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
29
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
41
Weak
Financial Strength
31
Business Quality / Moat
100
Management
0
Growth Quality
31
Risk / Durability
20
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
25
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
41/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 41/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Material dilution — approximately 74.2% share-count growth
- •Debt service risk
- •M&A headline · Sep 18, 2026
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for AVAV
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can AVAV maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •How long can AVAV fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •Is AVAV's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What specifically needs to improve for AVAV to reach sustainable profitability?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify AVAV's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
29
Opportunity Score
25
Market Cap
$6.44B
P/E Ratio
-24.4
EPS
$-5.82
52-Week High
$417.86
52-Week Low
$135.20
Beta
1.41
Analyst Target
$220.00
Shares Outstanding
49.1M
Total Revenue
$2.00B
Total Debt
$850.8M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$89.56
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Weakening momentum
Low movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for AVAV
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Material dilution — approximately 74.2% share-count growth
Diluted shares outstanding grew ~74.2% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.
Debt service risk
Interest coverage is low (~-12.5x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.
M&A headline · Sep 18, 2026
AeroVironment: The Market Is Pricing In Too Much Acquisition Risk — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
Seeking AlphaCommunity Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on AVAV.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Leading position in small uncrewed aircraft systems (UAS) for the U.S. military.
- +Strong backlog of funded government contracts.
Potential downside factors
- −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Aerospace & Defense industry.
- −High dependency on U.S. government defense spending and budget appropriations.
- −Risks associated with international sales and export control regulations.
- −Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
6 historical score records availablePrevious Score
29
Sep 9, 2026
Change
+0.2
points
Current Score
29
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
AVAV increased 0.2 points because overall fundamentals improved.
Projected Score
Projected Score
24
Projected Change
-4.6 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 4.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailableCurrent Price
$126.73
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Large reported revenue change: +140.9%
Revenue changed sharply from 2025 to 2026. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | $1.98B | $820.6M | $716.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | — | $1.48B | $497.7M | $432.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | — | $500.6M | $322.9M | $283.9M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | — | $127.7M | $158.8M | $159.9M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | — | $443.3M | $158.8M | $112.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | — | $570.9M | $282.1M | $212.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | — | -$35.0M | $104.4M | $109.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | — | -$70.3M | $40.8M | $71.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | — | $5.6M | $2.2M | $4.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | — | -$288.2M | $44.5M | $61.6M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | — | -$23.1M | $882K | $1.9M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | — | -$265.1M | $43.6M | $59.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | — | $-5.40 | $1.56 | $2.19 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 49.82M | 49.09M | 28.02M | 27.20M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 49.82M | 49.09M | 28.17M | 27.33M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$480.5M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.10
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+2.5%
Cash Change
-59.4%
Margin Change
+13.8 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Margins expanded
What Weakened
- Cash position declined
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 5.7%. EPS declined 93.1%. Cash declined 59.4%. Total debt increased 2.5%. Net income margin improved by 13.8 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
Smart Money
Number of Gurus
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
6 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 6 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
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Rumor Mill · AVAV
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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