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Price from Oct 29, 2026Financials updated Oct 1, 2026
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AMTX · Price history
Price at last available close
$1.30
−$0.53 (-28.96%) 1M
2026-10-28
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Aemetis, Inc. is an enterprise specializing in renewable natural gas and sustainable fuels, conducting operations across North America and India. The company's business activities are structured into three primary divisions: California Ethanol, Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. A core objective for Aemetis is the procurement, development, and market launch of innovative products and technologies that offer negative carbon intensity, serving as eco-friendly alternatives to traditional petroleum-based goods.
How they make money
Aemetis operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company that produces low and negative carbon intensity products. It generates revenue primarily through the sale of ethanol, renewable natural gas, and related agricultural byproducts, while also leveraging production tax credits to enhance its financial performance.
Products & services
Ethanol, renewable natural gas (RNG), wet distillers grains (WDG), distillers corn oil (DCO), and condensed distillers solubles (CDS).
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
The company sells substantially all of its California ethanol, WDG, DCO, and CDS production to J.D. Heiskell under a purchasing agreement as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Agricultural producers — Suppliers of agricultural products and waste used as feedstock for biofuel production; specific supplier companies are unnamed.Source
Competitors
Commercial ethanol production facilities — The company competes with approximately 191 commercial ethanol production facilities in the U.S. as reported by the EIA.Source
Strengths
Development of low and negative carbon intensity technologiesSource
Risks
Dependence on a single customer for ethanol and byproduct salesSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
10
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
17
Poor
Financial Strength
6
Business Quality / Moat
0
Management
33
Growth Quality
46
Risk / Durability
15
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
27
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
36/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 36/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.
What to watch
•CRITICAL: Going-concern warning
•Severe debt stress
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for AMTX
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can AMTX maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can AMTX fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is AMTX's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What specifically needs to improve for AMTX to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify AMTX's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for AMTX
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
CRITICAL: Going-concern warning
A recent SEC filing contains explicit going-concern language. Wall Street Score is capped at 15 until the distress condition is resolved in later filings.
Negative shareholder equity • Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on AMTX.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Development of low and negative carbon intensity technologies.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (severe): Negative shareholder equity.
−Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak10/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
10
Debt Cost16.0%
Debt Reduction YoY-12.9%
Debt / Equity-1.24x
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Revenue
Poor
34
Revenue YoY10.7%
Revenue CAGR5.5%
Net Margin-26.1%
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Asset
Poor
3
Asset Growth YoY0.2%
Liquidation/Share-$4.90
Net Assets/MCap-1.04x
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Capital
Poor
0
Earnings Yield-48.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost16.0%
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Management
Poor
33
ROIC-38.5%
ROE18.7%
ROA-20.8%
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Moat
Poor
0
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-21.7%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Poor
15
Revenue34
Moat0
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
2
Interest Coverage-0.6x
ROIC-38.5%
FCF Yield-18.2%
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Master
Poor
10
Financial2
Valuation0
Debt10
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Resilience
Poor
17
Survival Years0.2 yrs
Current Ratio0.07x
FCF Margin-10.9%
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Score Changes
6 historical score records available
Previous Score
10
Sep 8, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
10
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.2
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.1
AMTX score was unchanged.
Projected Score
Projected Score
10
Projected Change
+0.1 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 0.1 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$1.30
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$230.2M
$208.0M
$267.6M
$186.7M
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Cost of Revenue
$206.2M
$208.7M
$268.2M
$184.7M
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Gross Profit
$23.9M
-$768K
-$580K
$2.0M
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$152K
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SG&A Expenses
$26.4M
$36.5M
$39.8M
$39.3M
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····
····
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Operating Expenses
$35.5M
$36.5M
$39.8M
$39.4M
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····
····
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EBITDA
-$9.3M
-$24.4M
-$49.8M
-$34.8M
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Operating Income
-$11.6M
-$37.2M
-$40.4M
-$37.4M
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Interest Expense
$46.8M
$61.1M
$40.2M
$33.0M
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····
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Income Before Tax
-$71.7M
-$95.7M
-$98.4M
-$100.2M
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····
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Income Tax Expense
-$11.6M
-$18.7M
-$10.8M
-$53.7M
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Net Income
-$60.2M
-$77.0M
-$87.5M
-$46.4M
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Basic EPS
$-0.91
$-1.28
$-1.91
$-1.22
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Basic Shares
70.89M
65.78M
45.90M
38.06M
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Diluted Shares
70.89M
65.78M
45.90M
38.06M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
What Weakened
Cash position declined
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 20.0%. EPS declined 68.3%. Cash declined 40.9%. Total debt increased 22.0%. Net income margin improved by 29.8 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.