Adecoagro S.A.
AGRO · Price history
Price at last available close
$9.82
−$0.20 (-2.00%) 1M
2026-10-28
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Company & revenue
About Adecoagro S.A.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and rough rice; genetic development of seeds; and production of dairy products, such as raw milk, ultra-high temperature milk, UP milk, powdered milk, semi-hard cheese, cream, cream and cocoa flavored milk, chocolate and fluid milk, and other dairy products.
How they make money
Adecoagro operates a vertically integrated agribusiness model in South America, generating revenue through the production and sale of sugar, ethanol, energy, and agricultural commodities. Following its 2025 acquisition of Profertil, the company also generates significant revenue from the production and distribution of fertilizers, leveraging a circular business model that includes renewable energy production.
Products & services
Sugar, ethanol, electricity, various agricultural crops (grains, oilseeds), and urea-based fertilizers.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer types
- Regional export marketsSource
Customer concentration
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Third-party machine operators — Specialized third-party machine operators hired for planting, harvesting, and spraying services in the farming business.Source
Strengths
Financial risk observations and what to check
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Diluted weighted-average shares increased 46.0% year over year.
Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.
Total debt increased 84.0% versus the same quarter last year.
Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
25
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
41
Weak
Financial Strength
27
Business Quality / Moat
61
Management
13
Growth Quality
74
Risk / Durability
36
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
23
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
34/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 34/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •Elevated debt risk
- •M&A headline · Sep 1, 2026
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for AGRO
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can AGRO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •Is AGRO's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
- •Is AGRO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify AGRO's current valuation?
- •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of AGRO's score?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
25
Opportunity Score
23
Market Cap
$1.42B
P/E Ratio
156.0
EPS
$0.07
52-Week High
$15.89
52-Week Low
$6.89
Beta
-0.06
Intrinsic Value
$0.80
Analyst Target
$14.00
Shares Outstanding
512.2M
Total Revenue
$1.65B
Total Debt
$2.33B
Dividend Yield (TTM)
3.02%
Liquidation Value / Share
$3.67
Dividend / Share (TTM)
$0.30
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Weakening momentum
Low movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for AGRO
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
M&A headline · Sep 1, 2026
Adecoagro Completes Acquisition of Caarapó Mill and Integrates It Into Its Cluster in Mato Grosso do Sul — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
PRNewsWireCommunity Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on AGRO.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Vertically integrated agribusiness model.
- +Low-cost farmland assets in South America.
- +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
- −Interest coverage is below 2x.
- −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
- −Exposure to agricultural commodity price volatility.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
5 historical score records availablePrevious Score
24
Sep 8, 2026
Change
+0.5
points
Current Score
25
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
AGRO increased 0.5 points because Asset improved by 2.7 points, Capital improved by 2 points.
Positive Contributors
- + Asset improved by 2.7 points
- + Capital improved by 2 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
24
Projected Change
-0.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 0.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
OvervaluedCurrent Price
$9.82
Model Intrinsic Value
$0.80
Difference
+$9.02
+1120.1% vs IV
Margin of Safety
-1120.1%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.65B | $1.43B | $1.52B | $1.30B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.16B | $1.08B | $1.08B | $883.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $494.4M | $351.3M | $434.8M | $415.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $261.9M | $189.7M | $172.1M | $143.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $305.0M | $284.8M | $252.5M | $173.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $585.2M | $375.6M | $412.9M | $651.6M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $189.4M | $66.4M | $182.3M | $241.6M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $177.5M | $111.1M | $73.8M | $53.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $99.9M | -$6.9M | $35.1M | $305.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $39.2M | -$174K | -$57.0M | $78.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $49.5M | -$8.3M | $92.3M | $226.3M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $0.07 | $-0.02 | $0.18 | $0.42 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 728M | 510M | 513M | 535M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 728M | 512M | 515M | 537M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$531.0M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$0.03
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+84.0%
Cash Change
+67.5%
Margin Change
+8.0 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Margins expanded
- Cash position grew
What Weakened
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 39.0%. EPS declined 172.2%. Cash increased 67.5%. Total debt increased 84.0%. Net income margin improved by 8.0 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
Smart Money
Number of Gurus
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Log in to view dividend history.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
5 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 5 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
Related Companies
Agricultural Farm ProductsNews
Adecoagro Announces Early Redemption of its 6.000% Senior Notes due 2027
Fitch Ratings Initiates Coverage of Adecoagro with a BB Corporate Credit Rating and Stable Outlook
Fitch Ratings Initiates Coverage of Adecoagro with a BB Corporate Credit Rating and Stable Outlook
WINTON GROUP Ltd Makes New Investment in Adecoagro S.A. $AGRO
Rumor Mill · AGRO
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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