Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Agilon Health, Inc.

AGLNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment26/100
$91.00USD+$0.35 (+0.39%)
Company website agilonhealth.com
Headquarters440 Polaris Parkway, Westerville, OH, 43082, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities
Price from Oct 29, 2026Financials updated Oct 1, 2026

AGL · Price history

Price at last available close

$91.00

+$12.85 (+16.44%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Agilon Health, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Agilon Health, Inc. provides healthcare solutions specifically designed for older adults, delivered through local primary care physicians throughout the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company served an approximate total of 238,000 senior clients. This figure included 186,300 individuals enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans and 51,700 recipients of Medicare fee-for-service benefits.

How they make money

Agilon Health operates a value-based care model by partnering with community-based physician groups to transition their Medicare-centric business to a globally capitated model. The company provides a platform of technology, capital, and clinical support, entering into risk-bearing agreements with health plan payors to share in the savings generated from improved patient outcomes and reduced medical costs.

Products & services

The company provides a platform that includes clinical data analytics, administrative support, and capital to enable physician groups to manage Medicare Advantage and other value-based care populations.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

Medical ServicesUSD 5.92B99.8%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Other OperatingUSD 11.23M0.2%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Medicare Advantage health plansSource
  • Community-based physician groupsSource

Customer concentration

The company's business is dependent on contracts with health plan payors and CMS; specific concentration details are disclosed in the risk factors of the 2025 10-K.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Health plan payors — Various health insurance companies that enter into risk-bearing, global capitation agreements with the company's risk-bearing entities.Source

Strengths

  • Long-term partnership model with community-based physician groupsSource
  • Purpose-built platform for value-based care transitionSource

Risks

  • Dependence on Medicare Advantage and CMS reimbursement modelsSource
  • Operational risks associated with medical cost trends and capitation performanceSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

26

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

30

Poor

Financial Strength

31

Business Quality / Moat

33

Management

40

Growth Quality

18

Risk / Durability

15

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

36

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

48/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 48/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for AGL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving AGL's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •How long can AGL fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •How is AGL likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for AGL to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify AGL's current valuation?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

26

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

36

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$1.53B

P/E Ratio

-5.2

EPS

$-15.38

52-Week High

$133.04

52-Week Low

$7.48

Beta

3.04

Analyst Target

$112.00

Shares Outstanding

16.6M

Total Revenue

$5.92B

Total Debt

$33.4M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$13.74

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
66/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +0.0% · 20D +14.3% · RSI 65 · Price vs 20D avg +4.4%
Volatility
30/ 100
-18 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 34.3% · 60D 75.5% · Acceleration 0.45x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for AGL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~-63.4x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on AGL.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Long-term partnership model with community-based physician groups.
  • +Purpose-built platform for value-based care transition.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Medical - Care Facilities industry.
  • −Dependence on Medicare Advantage and CMS reimbursement models.
  • −Operational risks associated with medical cost trends and capitation performance.
  • −Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak26/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

26

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Debt Cost18.0%
Debt Reduction YoY16.3%
Debt / Equity0.29x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

34

Revenue YoY-0.2%
Revenue CAGR17.2%
Net Margin-4.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Asset Growth YoY-26.7%
Liquidation/Share$13.74
Net Assets/MCap1.17x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Earnings Yield-18.9%
Buyback Yield3.8%
Debt Cost18.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-273.8%
ROE-110.4%
ROA-15.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth22.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Revenue34
Moat33
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Interest Coverage-63.4x
ROIC-273.8%
FCF Yield-9.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Financial25
Valuation0
Debt40

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Survival Years2.4 yrs
Current Ratio1.02x
FCF Margin-2.0%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

5 historical score records available

Previous Score

26

Sep 8, 2026

Change

+0.4

points

Current Score

26

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets+2.6
Capital+3.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.4

AGL increased 0.4 points because Asset improved by 2.6 points, Capital improved by 3 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Asset improved by 2.6 points
  • + Capital improved by 3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

28

Projected Change

+1.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 1.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$91.00

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

20192020202120212022202320242025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

20192020202120212022202320242025-$175M-$140M-$105M-$70M-$35M

Total Debt

20192020202120212022202320242025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Total Assets

20192020202120212022202320242025$0$450M$900M$1.4B$1.8B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM20252024202320222021202120202019
Revenue$5.92B$5.93B$6.06B$4.32B····················
Cost of Revenue$5.92B$6.12B$6.06B$4.25B····················
Gross Profit$82K-$188.6M$4.8M$69.7M····················
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····················
SG&A Expenses$259.0M$238.5M$268.9M$285.8M····················
Operating Expenses$265.2M$232.5M$297.0M$301.8M····················
EBITDA-$234.0M-$368.9M-$218.2M-$167.6M····················
Operating Income-$265.1M-$421.1M-$292.1M-$232.1M····················
Interest Expense$3.4M$6.6M$6.2M$6.7M····················
Income Before Tax-$250.6M-$404.1M-$248.8M-$194.5M····················
Income Tax Expense$590K$1.3M$1.5M$791K····················
Net Income-$251.2M-$405.3M-$260.2M-$262.6M····················
Basic EPS$-15.38$-24.50$-15.75$-16.00····················
Basic Shares16.70M16.56M16.44M16.36M····················
Diluted Shares17.21M16.56M16.44M16.36M····················
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 3, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$1.23Estimated revenue: $1.46B
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$1.49B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.04

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-19.2%

Cash Change

-37.5%

Margin Change

+8.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 7.2%. EPS declined 116.6%. Cash declined 37.5%. Total debt declined 19.2%. Net income margin improved by 8.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

5 historical records
Jul 19, 26Aug 11, 26Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 5 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 2 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · AGL

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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Highest Wall Street Score stocksBest growth stocksBest healthcare stocksHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

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