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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
The AES Corporation operates as an international enterprise primarily focused on electricity generation and distribution. Its activities involve both the ownership and management of power plants, producing and supplying electricity to a diverse clientele that includes other utility companies, large industrial consumers, and various intermediate purchasers. Beyond generation, AES also functions as a utility provider, managing infrastructure to either produce or acquire, then transmit, distribute, and ultimately sell power directly to end-users across residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors.
How they make money
The AES Corporation is a holding company that operates a geographically diversified portfolio of electricity generation and distribution businesses. It generates revenue by selling power to utilities, industrial users, and intermediaries, and by distributing electricity to end-user customers in residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors.
Products & services
Electricity generation, transmission, and distribution services, including renewable energy assets and utility infrastructure.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Unnamed suppliers — The company utilizes supplier financing arrangements for various operational needs.Source
Business relationships & partnerships
Total Energies Renewable Iberica S.L.U. — A joint venture partnership (AES DR Renewables Holdings, S.L.) to operate solar and wind farms in the Dominican Republic.Source
Strengths
Geographically diversified portfolio of electricity generation and distribution businessesSource
Risks
Interest rate risk on variable rate debt and commercial paper refinancingSource
Operational risks associated with non-recourse debt structures at individual operating entitiesSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
50
Fair
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
49
Weak
Financial Strength
43
Business Quality / Moat
59
Management
57
Growth Quality
45
Risk / Durability
33
Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
63
Fully Valued
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
59/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 59/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
•High debt risk
•M&A headline · Sep 29, 2026
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for AES
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can AES maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can AES fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is AES's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•Is AES's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
•What does the current high debt stress warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of AES's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for AES
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
High debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
M&A headline · Sep 29, 2026
US lawmakers including Sen. Warren push energy regulators to reject acquisition of power company AES — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Geographically diversified portfolio of electricity generation and distribution businesses.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (high): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair50/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
35
Debt Cost4.7%
Debt Reduction YoY-4.5%
Debt / Equity4.40x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Weak
40
Revenue YoY6.7%
Revenue CAGR-1.8%
Net Margin14.6%
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Asset
Fair
69
Asset Growth YoY9.2%
Liquidation/Share$18.01
Net Assets/MCap2.08x
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Capital
Fair
67
Earnings Yield18.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost4.7%
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Management
Fair
57
ROIC5.6%
ROE38.6%
ROA3.5%
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Moat
Fair
59
EPS Growth9.2%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-0.1%
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Valuation
Strong
88
Intrinsic Value$22.36
Value Reference$13.41
MOS32.9%
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Buffett
Fair
53
Revenue40
Moat59
Valuation88
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MOS
Strong
83
MOS %32.9%
Value Reference$13.41
Deep Discount Reference$8.94
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Financial
Poor
26
Interest Coverage1.4x
ROIC5.6%
FCF Yield-15.3%
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Master
Fair
50
Financial26
Valuation88
Debt35
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Resilience
Poor
23
Survival Years1.4 yrs
Current Ratio0.77x
FCF Margin-13.3%
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Score Changes
5 historical score records available
Previous Score
50
Sep 8, 2026
Change
-0.1
points
Current Score
50
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.1
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat-0.1
Valuation-0.6
Buffett-0.1
AES decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.
Projected Score
Projected Score
53
Projected Change
+3.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 3.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$13.05B
$12.23B
$12.28B
$12.68B
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Cost of Revenue
$10.40B
$10.02B
$9.96B
$10.16B
····
····
····
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$2.65B
$2.21B
$2.32B
$2.52B
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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····
····
····
····
····
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SG&A Expenses
$232.0M
$241.0M
$288.0M
$255.0M
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····
····
····
····
····
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Operating Expenses
$367.0M
$241.0M
$288.0M
$255.0M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
$4.51B
$2.94B
$3.67B
$2.53B
····
····
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
$2.28B
$1.97B
$2.03B
$2.26B
····
····
····
····
····
····
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Interest Expense
$1.44B
$1.42B
$1.52B
$1.30B
····
····
····
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
$1.19B
$20.0M
$868.0M
$72.0M
····
····
····
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$69.0M
-$181.0M
$59.0M
$261.0M
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····
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Net Income
$1.91B
$949.0M
$1.69B
$242.0M
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Basic EPS
$2.63
$1.26
$2.38
$0.37
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Basic Shares
713M
712M
705M
669M
····
····
····
····
····
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Diluted Shares
715M
712M
713M
712M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Cash position grew
What Weakened
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 19.9%. EPS declined 500.0%. Cash increased 33.3%. Total debt increased 6.1%. Net income margin improved by 17.3 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.