Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
Price from Oct 30, 2026Financials updated Oct 1, 2026
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ABR · Price history
Price at last available close
$3.02
−$0.84 (-21.76%) 1M
2026-10-29
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. The company invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities.
How they make money
Arbor Realty Trust operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and direct lender that generates income through two primary platforms: structured loan origination and investment, and agency loan origination and servicing. The company utilizes an annuity-based business model to provide financing for multifamily, single-family rental portfolios, and other commercial real estate assets, while managing its balance sheet through various financing vehicles including collateralized loan obligations.
Products & services
The company provides loan origination and servicing for multifamily, single-family rental portfolios, and other commercial real estate assets, including GSE-backed financing and construction financing products.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
unnamed — The company utilizes various financial institutions and counterparties to facilitate its collateralized loan obligation (CLO) securitizations and repurchase facilities.Source
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
29
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
35
Poor
Financial Strength
35
Business Quality / Moat
42
Management
18
Growth Quality
30
Risk / Durability
59
Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
59
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
57/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 57/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Valuation scores attractively
•Insider activity signal is favorable
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized
•Elevated debt risk
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for ABR
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•What is driving ABR's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
•Is ABR's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Is ABR's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•Is ABR's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
•What does the current corporate distress warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of ABR's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for ABR
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized
A recent SEC filing discusses authorization, approval, or a proposal for a reverse stock split. This is treated as a major distress/listing-risk signal and caps Wall Street Score below 30 while pending.
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on ABR.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Internally-managed mortgage REIT structure.
+Diversified income streams from structured and agency loan platforms.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
−Interest rate volatility affecting loan demand and financing costs.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak29/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
30
Debt Cost6.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-10.0%
Debt / Equity3.74x
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Revenue
Weak
46
Revenue YoY-1.0%
Revenue CAGR29.8%
Net Margin4.8%
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Asset
Fair
61
Asset Growth YoY7.4%
Liquidation/Share$13.74
Net Assets/MCap4.40x
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Capital
Fair
50
Earnings Yield7.8%
Buyback Yield1.8%
Debt Cost6.4%
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Management
Poor
18
ROIC5.9%
ROE2.1%
ROA0.4%
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Moat
Weak
42
EPS Growth-23.8%
FCF/Share Growth-1.9%
Rev/Share Growth28.2%
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Valuation
Strong
75
Intrinsic Value$5.81
Value Reference$3.49
MOS49.3%
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Buffett
Weak
42
Revenue46
Moat42
Valuation75
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MOS
Strong
84
MOS %49.3%
Value Reference$3.49
Deep Discount Reference$2.33
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Financial
Poor
31
Interest Coverage1.3x
ROIC5.9%
FCF Yield53.4%
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Master
Poor
29
Financial31
Valuation75
Debt30
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Resilience
Poor
37
Survival Years2.9 yrs
Current Ratio0.10x
FCF Margin32.7%
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Score Changes
5 historical score records available
Previous Score
34
Sep 8, 2026
Change
+9.8
points
Current Score
43
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+5.4
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+16.0
Management0
Moat+1.3
Valuation+40.8
Buffett+5.3
ABR increased 9.8 points because Revenue improved by 5.4 points, Capital improved by 16 points, Valuation improved by 40.8 points.
Positive Contributors
+ Revenue improved by 5.4 points
+ Capital improved by 16 points
+ Valuation improved by 40.8 points
+ Buffett improved by 5.3 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
39
Projected Change
-4.8 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 4.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Large reported revenue change: +93.0%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$1.35B
$1.21B
$627.5M
$719.0M
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Cost of Revenue
$86.8M
$74.4M
$62.3M
$57.2M
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Gross Profit
$1.26B
$1.14B
$565.2M
$661.9M
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$146.7M
$233.9M
$181.7M
$159.8M
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Operating Expenses
$263.5M
$233.7M
$181.7M
$159.8M
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EBITDA
$802.9M
$901.7M
$1.18B
$1.40B
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Operating Income
$999.6M
$902.8M
$383.5M
$502.1M
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Interest Expense
$718.0M
$701.8M
$804.6M
$903.2M
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Income Before Tax
$76.0M
$176.6M
$297.4M
$427.9M
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Income Tax Expense
$17.0M
$18.8M
$13.5M
$27.3M
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Net Income
$57.7M
$148.8M
$264.6M
$371.4M
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Basic EPS
$0.15
$0.56
$1.18
$1.79
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Basic Shares
191M
193M
189M
185M
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Diluted Shares
191M
210M
206M
219M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026
Revenue
$292.6M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.20
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+86.6%
Cash Change
+12.4%
Margin Change
-20.6 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Cash position grew
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included cash levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 3.0%. EPS declined 253.8%. Cash increased 12.4%. Total debt increased 86.6%. Net income margin declined by 20.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
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5 Years
$———.——
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10 Years
$———.——
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Conservative Projection Rate
——%
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Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.