Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Arbor Realty Trust

ABRNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment29/100
$3.02USD+$0.07 (+2.20%)
Company website www.arbor.com
Headquarters333 Earle Ovington Boulevard, Uniondale, NY, 11553, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Price from Oct 30, 2026Financials updated Oct 1, 2026

ABR · Price history

Price at last available close

$3.02

−$0.84 (-21.76%) 1M

2026-10-29

Tap or drag sideways to inspect a price. Use two fingers to compare automatically. Release to scroll. Use Shift + arrow keys to compare with a keyboard.

Company & revenue

About Arbor Realty Trust

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. The company invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities.

How they make money

Arbor Realty Trust operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and direct lender that generates income through two primary platforms: structured loan origination and investment, and agency loan origination and servicing. The company utilizes an annuity-based business model to provide financing for multifamily, single-family rental portfolios, and other commercial real estate assets, while managing its balance sheet through various financing vehicles including collateralized loan obligations.

Products & services

The company provides loan origination and servicing for multifamily, single-family rental portfolios, and other commercial real estate assets, including GSE-backed financing and construction financing products.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Multifamily property ownersSource
  • Single-family rental (SFR) portfolio operatorsSource
  • Commercial real estate developersSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • unnamed — The company utilizes various financial institutions and counterparties to facilitate its collateralized loan obligation (CLO) securitizations and repurchase facilities.Source

Strengths

  • Internally-managed mortgage REIT structureSource
  • Diversified income streams from structured and agency loan platformsSource

Risks

  • Interest rate volatility affecting loan demand and financing costsSource
  • Credit risk associated with commercial real estate loan portfoliosSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

29

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

35

Poor

Financial Strength

35

Business Quality / Moat

42

Management

18

Growth Quality

30

Risk / Durability

59

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

59

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

57/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 57/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Insider activity signal is favorable
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for ABR

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving ABR's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is ABR's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is ABR's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is ABR's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current corporate distress warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of ABR's score?
⚠ 2 warningsView warning details
MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorizedElevated debt risk
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

29

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

59

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$562.5M

P/E Ratio

25.6

EPS

$0.15

52-Week High

$12.58

52-Week Low

$3.76

Beta

1.12

Intrinsic Value

$5.81

Analyst Target

$5.00

Shares Outstanding

209.7M

Total Revenue

$1.20B

Total Debt

$11.09B

Dividend Yield (TTM)

31.18%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$13.74

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.94

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
28/ 100
+11 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D +2.0% · 20D -18.6% · RSI 57 · Price vs 20D avg +1.4%
Volatility
65/ 100
+2 pts / 5d

Elevated movement

20D realized vol 66.9% · 60D 48.3% · Acceleration 1.39x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for ABR

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

MAJOR RED FLAG: Reverse split proposed / authorized

A recent SEC filing discusses authorization, approval, or a proposal for a reverse stock split. This is treated as a major distress/listing-risk signal and caps Wall Street Score below 30 while pending.

Supporting filing

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Elevated debt risk

Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on ABR.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Internally-managed mortgage REIT structure.
  • +Diversified income streams from structured and agency loan platforms.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
  • −Interest rate volatility affecting loan demand and financing costs.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak29/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

29

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Debt Cost6.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-10.0%
Debt / Equity3.74x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Revenue YoY-1.0%
Revenue CAGR29.8%
Net Margin4.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

61

Asset Growth YoY7.4%
Liquidation/Share$13.74
Net Assets/MCap4.40x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Earnings Yield7.8%
Buyback Yield1.8%
Debt Cost6.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

18

ROIC5.9%
ROE2.1%
ROA0.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

42

EPS Growth-23.8%
FCF/Share Growth-1.9%
Rev/Share Growth28.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

75

Intrinsic Value$5.81
Value Reference$3.49
MOS49.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

42

Revenue46
Moat42
Valuation75

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

MOS %49.3%
Value Reference$3.49
Deep Discount Reference$2.33

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Interest Coverage1.3x
ROIC5.9%
FCF Yield53.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Financial31
Valuation75
Debt30

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Survival Years2.9 yrs
Current Ratio0.10x
FCF Margin32.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Was this stock page easy to understand?

One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.

Score Changes

5 historical score records available

Previous Score

34

Sep 8, 2026

Change

+9.8

points

Current Score

43

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+5.4
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+16.0
Management0
Moat+1.3
Valuation+40.8
Buffett+5.3

ABR increased 9.8 points because Revenue improved by 5.4 points, Capital improved by 16 points, Valuation improved by 40.8 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 5.4 points
  • + Capital improved by 16 points
  • + Valuation improved by 40.8 points
  • + Buffett improved by 5.3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

39

Projected Change

-4.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 4.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$3.02

Model Intrinsic Value

$5.81

Difference

−$2.80

-48.1% vs IV

Margin of Safety

48.1%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $3.49
Deep Discount Reference: $2.33

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$350M$700M$1.1B$1.4B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$400M$0$400M$800M$1.2B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5B$14.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$4.5B$9.0B$13.5B$18.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Large reported revenue change: +93.0%

Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.

TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$1.35B$1.21B$627.5M$719.0M····························
Cost of Revenue$86.8M$74.4M$62.3M$57.2M····························
Gross Profit$1.26B$1.14B$565.2M$661.9M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$146.7M$233.9M$181.7M$159.8M····························
Operating Expenses$263.5M$233.7M$181.7M$159.8M····························
EBITDA$802.9M$901.7M$1.18B$1.40B····························
Operating Income$999.6M$902.8M$383.5M$502.1M····························
Interest Expense$718.0M$701.8M$804.6M$903.2M····························
Income Before Tax$76.0M$176.6M$297.4M$427.9M····························
Income Tax Expense$17.0M$18.8M$13.5M$27.3M····························
Net Income$57.7M$148.8M$264.6M$371.4M····························
Basic EPS$0.15$0.56$1.18$1.79····························
Basic Shares191M193M189M185M····························
Diluted Shares191M210M206M219M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$292.6M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.20

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+86.6%

Cash Change

+12.4%

Margin Change

-20.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included cash levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 3.0%. EPS declined 253.8%. Cash increased 12.4%. Total debt increased 86.6%. Net income margin declined by 20.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

24

Smart Money

24

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

5 historical records
Jul 19, 26Aug 11, 26Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 5 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 2 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00

Value Reference

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.4%

Related Companies

REIT - Mortgage

ADAM

Adamas Trust, Inc.

63Fair
$7.78View

REFI

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.

62Fair
$9.04View

NLY

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

59Fair
$18.29View

PMT

PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

58Fair
$7.04View

MITT

TPG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc

57Fair
$5.62View

AOMR

Angel Oak Mortgage, Inc.

55Fair
$7.20View

News

Rumor Mill · ABR

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

Continue researching this company with related Wall Street Score rankings and investing guides.

Highest Wall Street Score stocksStocks under $10Best value stocksBest growth stocksTop REITsHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stock

Score Alerts

Premium unlocks alerts when a score rises, falls, or reaches your target price.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Portfolio Score

Premium unlocks portfolio scoring, strongest and weakest holdings, and overall margin of safety.

Start 7-Day Free Trial